The UFC will host it’s largest card this year on July 10th. Public tickets usually swarm to the betting windows during events like this, but none more often than during a McGregor fight week.
If you think there is money to be made on the Irishman, it makes a lot of sense to beat the masses to your bookie next weekend. Reading line movement and getting the best action you can is crucial for any MMA gambler’s long-term bankroll.
The last time that Conor McGregor closed at a better price than he opened was in his UFC debut against Marcus Brimage. He opened as a -170 favorite but closed as good as a -150 at some books. In his most recent bout against Dustin Poirier we saw money pour in on Conor, driving him from a -175 at open to a -290 at close.
Currently, the market is holding steady at a -110 on either side. Bovada is one of the books currently offering that price if you happen to be interested in backing McGregor now.
I expect we see similar action in the lead up to July 10th. If you like McGregor -110 is probably the best you get, unless a stray +100 shines for an afternoon. I see him being driven up to near a -150 or worse when he steps into the octagon. As Poirier may end up being my bet, I am holding onto my money until fight day.
Conor McGregor will be extremely motivated in the lead up to this bout and I worry about him catching Poirier early. However, there is no denying that The Diamond is one of the best martial artists in the world. It is hard to be super confident in either side here.